
最近可可的价格由低点反弹是因为奈及利亚劳工的动乱。之前可可价格已跌至3年最低,主要原因是西非的产量创记录新高,以及国际咖啡协会(ICO)对全球可可生产过剩的预估。从长期的观点来看,可可的全球需求强劲(在2010/11年度上升3.1%),但国际咖啡协会(ICO)预测,将有更高的产量使得库存增加18.5%,导致期末库存达到创纪录的1.93百万吨,库存/消费比率预估为47.8%,去年同期为44.2%。
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