Wednesday, July 23, 2014

置地通用【L&G】,『置』之死地而后生(2)

在这篇名为 - 产(30):置地通用【L&G】,『置』之死地而后生的文章结尾时,我提到置地通用的管理层在2014年7月14日所召开的记者会,释放了几项讯息,包括派发红股。

该篇新闻报导提到,派发红股最快也要2015年上半年才能落实,因为基于一项上市条例的6个月期限所限制。


今天,管理层对外誊清的文告如下:


这项文告来了一个180度转变,首先指出派发2仙的股息是管理层回馈股东的第一步,同时管理层将会继续努力寻找其他回馈方式,这否决了派发红股的声明。

再来,置地通用进一步誊清,如果未来有企业活动,并且会牵涉到强制性收购的话,那么主要大股东在最后一天转换不可赎回可转换无担保债券(ICULS,Irredeemable Convertible Unsecured Loan Stocks)算起,6个月后才能够执行。

Clarification:L&G working on other forms of reward besides latest dividend

经此事件后,大家对置地通用的管理层是否又有新的看法呢?

24 comments:

  1. 谢分享,想问下版主大大是如何从这么多公司里挑选要分析的公司呢?
    因为发觉版主分享的公司都表现亮眼。。
    是版主认为有前景的公司才分析吗?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. weeyunn,

      我有着一系列的主题,因此没有什么准则的,有时只是因为刚好收到该公司的年报,在翻阅后,想深入了解,就会去收集其资料。

      只要我觉得资料收集差不多了,我就会去阅读和消化。

      消化不来的,就会搁置一旁先。

      不过我会比较偏向冷门的股,很多热门又或者明星股,我都比较少去写,因为这些大家上网就可以从其他部落格轻而易举找到相关资讯。

      Delete
  2. 看来大股东要私营化了,小股东可要长命百岁,别让煮熟的鸭子飞走了。

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lonaldo Lo,

      不排除任何可能性,不过散户基本上都是比较被动的。

      Delete
  3. 大股东是香港人,他的大马第一桶金好像在plaza hartamas 找到的。他的招牌功夫好像是低价买入,改造,加点料,再高价卖掉,赚取$$。回顾L&G , 今年股价稍微有看头,从30仙起到最高的70仙,market cap from 两亿多到接近5亿,大股东有30%股份(大概),因该赚了一亿。虽然unbilled sale 超过5亿,未来sri damansara 还有10年20亿物业发展。不过身为发展商,地库累计好像很少,钱就很多,是不是高处不胜寒呢?见好就收,这个马来西亚版的李嘉诚就说过,market 不好就买地,。market好就卖楼,请赐教。

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lonaldo Lo,

      谢谢你宝贵的留言,同时也带出很多讯息,可以供投资者参考。

      Delete
  4. Lonaldo Lo 听你这么说我们散户是不是要hold到大股东私营化呢?还是抛售的好?

    请教请教

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. XiaoJ,

      其实一切取决于大股东的意愿,而大股东的意愿很多时候却是参考散户们的期盼。

      Delete
  5. 看看ksl 的股价,从rm2.2 到rm3.9 左右。PE 5 给人炒到8点多左右。你们自己分析L&G PE below 4 ,而且PE低并不是突然卖地说得,而是考真材实料。我个人不贪心,就希望它的PE可以破6 左右在8月未。因为我猜测8月未的业绩应该非常好。

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lonaldo Lo,

      你看回我早期的文章,可以看到当时我给KSL, IBHD 及 TROP相当篇幅的探讨。

      当中,尤其是KSL,虽然没有派息,可是基本面很强劲。

      不过,从rm2.2 到rm3.9 左右,却并不是一朝一夕的事。

      我曾在2010年,看好PJDEV,当时其NTA1.60,而股价却8毛多,可惜的是,后来股价不但没有涨,还跌了一截。

      由此看来,只要公司体质不错,回报是等回来的。

      Delete
  6. 其实金钱不过是数字游戏,享受过程,累计经验,建立自己的投资概念和自己的情绪反应,还有分析与多收集资讯以让自己在股海屹立不倒。产业股跟其他行业有点不同,应为他们的最新业绩报告多数都是2,3年前累计的销售额,2,3 年前到明年还是产业股的天下,祝大家好运。

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lonaldo Lo,

      你说得很对,金钱只不过是数字游戏,最重要是享受过程,累计经验。

      我曾经经历过一段黯淡的路程,所幸的是,我经常以这句话勉励自己 - 没有赚到,也学到。

      秉持这样的心态,才能股海走得更远。

      Delete
  7. 哈哈,不错。祝你一帆风顺。

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lonaldo Lo,

      谢谢你哦,大家一起加油。

      Delete
  8. Sinced 2007, chew family emerge as major shareholder by bought L@G around 8.35%, up to last year they managed to accumulate become 13.85% . Obviously, when the company turn good , it is vry difficult to accumulated the share unless with better offer price. That why had "iculs" with the excuse to raise money to buy putrajaya office for collect rental 5% which diversed it business and risk management. Wah, so lousy excuse. Anyway , by latest annual report, we know chew family in l n g mother share are 14.7% and warrant 48.5% accumulated, so this is real purposed for iculs which increase their shared . If they fully convert their La to mother share , i think almost can reach 40%.. try to imagine why a so bright future outlook share are undervalued? They had one obvious reason, big shareholders are accumulated their share quietly n press the price down. I guess only, their main purpose are takeover , that can be explain why this share price not moved.. good n smarter small share holder, don simply sold ur share, must had long run with major shareholders oh

    ReplyDelete
  9. Lonaldo Lo,

    真的是一针见血,很多人都察觉到这个意图,问题现在应该是在于散户的耐性有多大。

    ReplyDelete
  10. Sifu, 你本身持有该股吗?还有你本身有察觉吗,邱大小姐之前是director 之一,算是女强人,现在好像director变成邱公子,25岁左右,看起来是playboy一个,所谓清官難理家事,公司最怕家庭纷争。或许我太多事了,哈哈。

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lonaldo Lo,

      我本身持有一些,早前买入的,你所说的,我有注意到,邱大小姐确实有女强人的强悍作风,我也不晓得为什么后来角色上出现上述微妙的变化。

      公司除了家庭纠纷,董事纠纷如早前的HOHUP也一样难搞。

      我们身为投资者,除了看庄脸上,也要看董事成员,公司家族成员的举动,唯有尽量多『听其言观其行』。

      Delete
  11. 那么我们就研究董事行为, winnie chew, 12岁就国外读书,20多岁就在瑞行累计经验,过后就帮他父亲学习,目标就是建立酒店王国。父亲这两年已放手给她处理,现今应该34岁左右,可以说虎父无犬女,感情单身。Andrew chew, wah, 今年25岁,最轰动应该就是姐弟恋,跟一个大他14岁赵千金拍拖,为爱整天驾private jet 游车河,商场累计经验不到一年。因为Andrew chew 唯一男丁,我看L n G 的股东要步步为营了。

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lonaldo Lo,

      看来你也做了蛮深入的研究,也给了股东们一些额外的讯息。

      谢谢你哦。

      Delete
  12. Lonaldo Lo Most of the listed company major shareholder is not stupid, if they are stupid,they will not be major shareholder. Hence, we r just small holder ,analyst and do homework. First, for any new share issue private placement by bonus share,right issue,warrant,LA,etc ,objctive of major shareholder is raise the fund to do his "special project". That why one year ago before Iculs announced, the price is press down by major shareholder with the reason hope small holder will not fight with them to grab the share. After this, the major shareholder grab almost 48% of this LA which help the major shareholder increased from approx 14.75% to 25.1% today,(noted they are 100 million LA not converted yet which not touch the grey line 33% which force them to privatise or bought over the company . We can guess chew family share accumulate which fully converted their LA will be 32.5%(approx). Then they announced "2% dividen, so most of small holder rush for convert the La to ordinary share to get 2 cents dividen this months. Today AGM most highlight is management had planned another 10% new share(i dun know in which method).. conclusions, we atill remember they issue Iculs with the reason to raise fund for putrajaya office building with pay the 1% to shareholder,(usually it can be defined company cash flow not strong). But in reality, they grab 48% of this share issues. So we know their main objective of chew family is increased their share to had more power. So, "Major shareholder are lie the small holder". Now , small holder aim 2 cents but need to paid the another 13cents(for LA initial costing), actually is small shareholder give the money to major shareholder spend . Pls be remember price increased or down is meaningless , only small shareholder are concerned about it. We r small holder can buy n sell at any time n any volume but not to major shareholder. So chew family had play us 1 time, now i think is big fish eat small fish. They will not facing difficulties to grab new share issue based on AGM agenda to stable their position in L n G. I don think we can get any good benefit from them. Wish all player good luck.个人认为, 大股东肯定是老狐狸,所有迹象显示都是在想提高公司的控制权通过提高股份。用您讲的一句话,等。应为其实股价长期被压对大股东也没好处。这半年应该是帮大股东暗渡陈仓, 祝大家长命百岁。

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lonaldo Lo的重点归纳如下:

      1. 任何的企业活动,都是为了集资以做特殊用途;

      2. 1年前股价有被压下的嫌疑,因为大股东想在市场上累积更多的票;

      3. 推出转换不可赎回可转换无担保债券以收购赛城的物业,利息才区区1%,主要是想让小股东有很不划算的感觉;

      4. 因此,大股东通过这样的安排,股份大幅度提高,从原有的14.75% 增加至 25.1%;

      5. 大股东倘若将手上的转换不可赎回可转换无担保债券都做转换,预估股份将会上升至32.5%,33%是强制性全面收购的门槛,因此在这里,大股东会巧妙安排;

      6. 董事局建议派息2仙,其中一个目的是希望有债券持有人抛弃1%的利息,转去赚取2仙的股息,这样公众持股进一步提高。

      谢谢Lonaldo Lo仔细与用心的分析。

      Delete

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